The Doomsday Clock Set to Five Minutes to Midnight: January 17, 2007

On January 17, 2007, the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (BAS) moved the hands of the Doomsday Clock to five minutes to midnight. This symbolic clock, which was first introduced in 1947, represents the perceived likelihood of a man-made global catastrophe, with midnight symbolizing the apocalypse. The decision to adjust the clock in 2007 was driven by growing concerns over nuclear proliferation and climate change, two critical threats to global security and stability.

Context and Background

The Doomsday Clock was created by the BAS, a group of scientists and experts who had been involved in the Manhattan Project during World War II. The clock serves as a metaphorical measure of how close humanity is to self-destruction, primarily through nuclear war, but also through other emerging global threats.

Nuclear Proliferation Concerns

In 2007, the BAS highlighted several factors contributing to the increased risk of nuclear conflict:

• North Korea’s Nuclear Test: In October 2006, North Korea conducted its first nuclear test, raising alarms about the spread of nuclear weapons and the potential for regional instability in East Asia.
• Iran’s Nuclear Program: Iran’s continued development of its nuclear program was causing international tension, with fears that it could lead to a nuclear arms race in the Middle East.
• Stalled Disarmament Efforts: Progress on nuclear disarmament had stalled, with major nuclear powers showing little commitment to reducing their arsenals.

Climate Change Threats

For the first time, the BAS included climate change as a factor in setting the clock:

• Global Warming: The scientific consensus on climate change was becoming increasingly clear, with evidence of rising global temperatures and the potential for severe environmental and societal impacts.
• Lack of Action: Despite growing awareness, there was a lack of significant international action to curb greenhouse gas emissions and mitigate climate change effects.

Broader Historical Significance

The 2007 adjustment of the Doomsday Clock underscored the interconnectedness of global security issues. It highlighted the need for international cooperation to address both traditional security threats, like nuclear proliferation, and emerging challenges, such as climate change.

Aftermath and Consequences

• Increased Awareness: The decision to move the clock closer to midnight drew public attention to the urgent need for action on nuclear disarmament and climate change.
• Policy Discussions: It spurred discussions among policymakers and the public about the importance of multilateral efforts to address these global threats.
• Subsequent Adjustments: The Doomsday Clock has continued to be adjusted in response to global events, serving as a barometer of existential risk and a call to action for the international community.

In summary, the 2007 setting of the Doomsday Clock to five minutes to midnight was a significant moment that reflected the dual threats of nuclear proliferation and climate change, urging global leaders and citizens to take decisive action to ensure a safer future.